主成分回归在人类发展指数影响因素分析中的应用

Sumarni Susilawati, D. Didiharyono
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摘要

人类发展指数是衡量人们生活质量的指标。人类发展指数越高,人们的生活质量越好。影响人类发展指数水平的因素或变量很多,包括经济问题、教育、卫生和其他因素。然而,并不是所有的因素都有积极和显著的影响。因此,本研究旨在确定显著影响南苏拉威西人类发展指数的因素。本研究采用的方法是主成分回归,涉及多个变量。所涉及的变量包括预期受教育年限、平均受教育年限、接受过最高文凭、学士和硕士教育的人口比例、7-24岁人群的入学率、贫困人口比例、人均支出和预期寿命。从主成分分析的数据处理结果中,得到4个主成分,代表其他成分,进行主成分回归,考虑累积比例> 80%。研究结果表明,南苏拉威西的人类发展指数受到所有变量的影响,等于95.7%。在南苏拉威西,可变的贫困百分比是对人类发展指数产生负面影响的变量之一,这表明贫困百分比越高,人类发展指数越低。因此,为了提高印度尼西亚的人类发展指数,有必要采取战略步骤来改善人民的福利。
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Application of Principal Component Regression in Analyzing Factors Affecting Human Development Index
The human development index is an indicator to measure the quality of people's lives. If the human development index number increases, the better the quality of people's lives. There are many factors or variables that affect the level of the human development index, ranging from economic issues, education, health and other factors. However, not all factors have a positive and significant effect. Thus, this study aims to determine the factors that significantly affect the human development index in South Sulawesi. The method used in this study is principal component regression which involves many variables. The variables involved are expected length of schooling, average length of schooling, percentage of population with the highest Diploma, Bachelor and Masters education, school enrollment rate for people aged 7-24 years, percentage of poor people, spending per capita, and life expectancy. From the results of data processing using principal component analysis, 4 main components are obtained which represent the other components, for principal component regression, taking into account the cumulative proportion of > 80%. The results of this study indicate that the human development index in South Sulawesi is influenced by all the variables involved, which is equal to 95.7%. With the variable percentage of poverty being one of the variables that has a negative effect on HDI in South Sulawesi which shows that the higher the percentage of poverty, the lower the human development index. Thus, in order to increase the human development index in Indonesia, it is necessary to take strategic steps to improve people's welfare.
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