评估2050年以前气候变化影响下的里海海平面波动情况

N. Ivkina, A. Galayeva
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引用次数: 0

摘要

考虑到气候变化的影响,本文考虑了里海海平面在2050年之前可能出现的波动。为此,预测了入海河流和气象参数(降水、气温和水面蒸发)的可能变化。根据RCP4两种气候情景估算了气象参数的变化。5和RCP8.5。
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ASSESSMENT OF FLUCTUATIONS IN THE CASPIAN SEA LEVEL UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF CLIMATE CHANGE FOR THE FUTURE UNTIL 2050
The article considers the possible fluctuation of the Caspian Sea level in the future until 2050, taking into an account the climate changes. For this purpose, possible changes in the river inflow to the sea and meteorological parameters (precipitation, air temperature and evaporation from the water surface) were predicted. Changes in the meteorological parameters were estimated according to two climate scenarios RCP4. 5 and RCP8.5.
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