三驾马车投资范式:房地产、商业和国家资产的战略性资产配置

Taher Khan
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摘要

本文件的目的是通过将资产分为三个不同的类别:房地产、商业和国家,概述三驾马车投资范式作为投资组合建设的战略资产配置蓝图。这种三位一体的分类法更适合消费资本资产定价模型的经济背景,在这个模型中,我们根据消费、商业投资和政府支出的组成部分详细描述宏观经济。这对这些集团来说也是大致相等的市值,对整体的每个部分都具有同等的重要性。对于资产定价,这导致基于风险和回报特征的特定组内投资选择的发展,以及投资风险的发展作为投资组合构建过程的一个组成部分,以确定每个组的多样化收益,其中每个组都是一个不同的相关集群。在零利率经济中,在风险预算中采用三位一体分类法,将导致主权资产转向更类似于股权的基础设施投资,而基础设施属于国家资产类别。同样,这也将减少对私人股本的投资。对于资产负债管理提供商来说,通过认识到长期负债同样缺乏流动性且匹配良好,它将涉及转向更多的非流动性资产,如房地产、基础设施和私人信贷。
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The Triumvirate Investment Paradigm : Strategic Asset Allocation in Property, Business, and Country Assets
The purpose of this document is to outline the triumvirate investment paradigm as a strategic asset allocation blueprint for portfolio construction by categorizing assets into three distinct groups: Property, Business, and Country.

This triumvirate taxonomy fits better within the economic context of the Consumption Capital Asset Pricing Model, where we detail the macroeconomy in terms of its constituents of Consumption, Business Investment, and Government Expenditures. This segments into broadly equal market capitalization for these groups as well, with an equal importance for each part of the whole. For asset pricing, this leads to the development of Investment Selection within a particular group based on risk and reward characteristics, and the development of Investment Risk as an integral part of the investment process for Portfolio Construction in determining the diversification benefits across each group, where each group is a distinct correlation cluster.

In a zero rate economy, adoption of a triumvirate taxonomy in risk budgeting will lead to a shift of sovereign assets towards more equity-like participation in Infrastructure, which fits under the Country asset class. Equally, it will lead to less investment exposure in Private Equity. For ALM providers, it will involve a shift towards more illiquid assets, such as Property, Infrastructure and Private Credit, by recognition that the long-term liabilities are equally illiquid and well matched.
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