有限资产市场参与下DSGE模型的股权溢价

Lorenzo Menna, P. Tirelli
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引用次数: 10

摘要

基于代表性代理假设的模型不能使观察到的股权溢价合理化。针对这一点,交易所经济模型引入了代理人异质性,通常以债券和股票持有人的形式出现。我们重新考虑在标准的中等规模DSGE模型中引入有限资产市场参与的问题。我们的模型很好地符合金融和宏观经济数据。我们得到,资产持有人消费与金融回报之间的相关性在被排除在金融市场参与之外的代理人份额中显著增加,因此预测的无条件股权溢价很大。此外,股息和李嘉图家庭消费之间的强相关性无疑增加了预防性储蓄,降低了无风险利率。
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The Equity Premium in a DSGE Model with Limited Asset Market Participation
Models based on the representative agent assumption cannot rationalize observed equity premia. In response to this, exchange economy models have introduced agents heterogeneity, typically in the form of bond and equity holders. We reconsider the issue introducing Limited Asset Market Participation in an otherwise standard medium scale DSGE model. Our model fits financial and macroeconomic data well. We obtain that the correlation between asset holders consumption and financial returns strongly increases in the share of agents excluded from financial markets participation, The predicted unconditional equity premium is therefore large. Further, the strong correlation between dividends and Ricardian households' consumption unambiguously increases precautionary savings and reduces the riskless rate.
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