从俄罗斯移民安置问题看西伯利亚人口的减少

O. Askanova
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引用次数: 1

摘要

对西伯利亚人口减少问题的认识促使作者研究西伯利亚联邦区的人口现状及其影响因素。对西伯利亚联邦区各个地区的统计资料进行比较分析的结果使我们能够谈到所谓的“向西迁移”,其结果是把我国的人口拉到俄罗斯中部地区,这加剧了重新安置问题。西伯利亚人口进程的动态特点是人口大幅减少,人口负担增加,这严重限制了西伯利亚地区未来人口再生产的潜力,造成社会经济停滞。作者清楚地认识到西伯利亚联邦区人口减少的原因取决于社会经济状况,着重研究了西伯利亚地区的现金收入和工资与俄罗斯平均水平之比的动态,表明多年来存在的不平衡不仅没有减少,而且还在增加。作为造成这种现状的原因之一,笔者认为俄罗斯权力精英代表在安置问题上的观点是两极分化的。
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DEPOPULATION OF THE POPULATION OF SIBERIA IN THE LIGHT OF THE RESETTLEMENT PROBLEM IN RUSSIA
Understanding the problem of depopulation in Siberia prompted the author to study the current demographic situation in the Siberian Federal District and the factors that determined it. The comparative analysis results of statistical information for individual regions of the Siberian Federal District allow us to speak of the so-called «Western drift», the result of which is the pulling of the country’s population to the central part of Russia, which exacerbates the resettlement problem. The dynamics of demographic processes in Siberia is characterized by a significant decline of the population and an increase in the demographic burden, which acts as a serious limiter on the potential for the reproduction of the population in Siberian region in future, contributing to socio-economic stagnation. Clearly realizing that the reasons for the population decline in Siberian Federal District depend on the socio-economic situation, the author focuses on studying the dynamics of the ratio of cash income and wages in the Siberian regions with the average Russian ones, showing that the disproportions that have existed for many years are not decreasing, but growing. As one of the reasons for the current situation the author considers the polarity of views of Russian power elite representatives on the resettlement problem.
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