基于ARIMA模型的印度COVID-19预测

Narayana Darapaneni, D. Reddy, A. Paduri, Pooja Acharya, H. S. Nithin
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引用次数: 12

摘要

最近,印度不同邦暴发的新冠肺炎疫情引起了政府各行政部门和公众的高度关注。新冠肺炎确诊病例1287945例,康复病例817209例,死亡病例30601例。印度于2020年1月30日发现了首例新型冠状病毒病例。印度政府自2020年3月24日起实施封锁,至2020年5月31日结束。在不封锁情况下的预测将有助于我们跟踪疾病的进一步进展,并提供足够的数据,以便规划医院设施、制药投资等的未来。
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Forecasting of COVID-19 in India Using ARIMA Model
The recent outbreak of COVID-19 in different states of India has major concerns for all administrative departments of the government and general public. The Pandemic has been tested positive in 1287945 individuals with 817209 recovered and 30601 succumbed to the disease. The first case of the novel coronavirus was detected in India on 30 January 2020. There was a lockdown imposed by the Government of India from 24 March 2020 and ended on 31 May 2020. A forecast in no lockdown scenario would help us to track the further progress of the disease and make sufficient data available in order to plan the future of hospital facilities, pharmaceutical investment etc.
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