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引用次数: 17

摘要

我们描述了一个基于模糊知识的分类器的生命周期,特别强调了它最容易被忽视的一个步骤:知识库的维护。首先,我们分析了承保保险申请的过程,这是一个分类问题,用于说明分类器的生命周期。在讨论了在线和离线使用分类器必须解决的一些设计权衡之后,我们描述了基于模糊规则(FRB)和基于模糊案例(FCB)分类器的设计和实现。我们建立了一个标准参考数据集(SRD),由3,000个保险申请及其相应的决策组成。SRD举例说明了一个理想的、最优的分类器所取得的结果,并代表了我们设计的目标。我们应用进化算法对每个分类器的设计参数进行离线优化,修改它们的行为以接近这个目标。SRD还用作测试和执行分类器的五倍交叉验证的参考。最后,重点介绍了FRB分类器的监测和维护。我们描述了一种支持在线FRB分类器离线质量保证过程的融合架构。融合模块获取多个分类器的输出,确定它们的一致性程度,并将它们与FRB分类器的总体一致性进行比较。从这一分析中,我们可以确定最适合更新SRD、审计或由高级承销商审查的案例。
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The life cycle of a fuzzy knowledge-based classifier
We describe the life cycle of a fuzzy knowledge-based classifier with special emphasis on one of its most neglected steps: the maintenance of its knowledge base. First, we analyze the process of underwriting Insurance applications, which is the classification problem used to illustrate the life cycle of a classifier. After discussing some design tradeoffs that must be addressed for the on-line and off-line use of a classifier, we describe the design and implementation of a fuzzy rule-based (FRB) and a fuzzy case-based (FCB) classifier. We establish a standard reference dataset (SRD), consisting of 3,000 insurance applications with their corresponding decisions. The SRD exemplifies the results achieved by an ideal, optimal classifier, and represents the target for our design. We apply evolutionary algorithms to perform an off-line optimization of the design parameters of each classifier, modifying their behavior to approximate this target. The SRD is also used as a reference for testing and performing a five-fold cross-validation of the classifiers. Finally, we focus on the monitoring and maintenance of the FRB classifier. We describe a fusion architecture that supports an off-line quality assurance process of the on-line FRB classifier. The fusion module takes the outputs of multiple classifiers, determines their degree of consensus, and compares their overall agreement with that of the FRB classifier. From this analysis, we can identify the most suitable cases to update the SRD, to audit, or to be reviewed by senior underwriters.
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