技术采用

Rashid A. Khan, Hassan Qudrat-Ullah
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本章讨论如何为技术选项附加价值。一个人需要在投资做得更好和投资做新事物之间找到平衡。有许多引人注目的例子表明,公司未能解决这一平衡问题,最终导致了它们的灭亡。技术和流程投资为以后的解决方案创造了偶然的机会;它们是偶然的,因为它们可能不会出现。许多市场天生就充满了不确定性。如果一家公司比竞争对手更善于管理不确定性,就能获得高额利润。战略价值是当前业务线的净现值和期望业务线的净期权价值的总和。基于选项的思维可以通过描述价值、评估价值和管理价值,为以价值为中心的组织提供框架。
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Technology Adoption
This chapter discusses how to attach value to technology options. One needs to address the balance between investing in getting better at what you are already doing versus investing in doing new things. There are numerous high-profile examples of companies unsuccessfully addressing this balance, leading to their eventual demise. Technology and process investments create contingent opportunities for later solutions; they are contingent in the sense that they may not emerge. Many markets are inherently laced with uncertainties. If a company is better at managing uncertainty than its competitors are, high profits can result. Strategic value is the sum of the net present value of current lines of business, and the net option value of aspirational lines of business. Options-based thinking can provide a framework for value-centered organizations by characterizing value, assessing value, and managing value.
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Elements of Modeling Exploring Possible Futures System Failures Technology Adoption Markets and Competitors
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