基于模糊的建设项目管理风险模型

Z. Chaher, H. Benseghir, A. Ibrahim, M. Kabir
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引用次数: 1

摘要

建筑行业涉及复杂和具有挑战性的过程,涉及伤害、死亡和财产损失的风险。来自不同部门的专家共同努力,制定一个良好的管理制度,以顺利完成一个建设项目。本文提出了一种应用模糊逻辑对建设项目风险进行评估的风险分析模型。模糊逻辑是风险分析中处理不确定性的方法之一,是对项目中成本、时间和质量的不确定性进行处理。该模型通过实际工程进行了验证。测试结果证明了该模型在实际场景中进行风险分析的合理性。使用这个模型,可以对建筑项目中的所有风险因素进行优先级排序。因此,项目经理和领导可以采取适当的预防措施来避免风险。提出的基于模糊的风险分析模型简化了风险管理过程,有助于决策者和专家对项目进行监视和控制,最终达到利益相关者的满意。
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A Fuzzy-based Risk Model for Construction Project Management
Construction industry involves complex and challenging process associated with the risk of injury, death and property loss. Experts from different departments work together to develop a good management system in order to successfully complete a construction project. This paper presents a model of risk analysis using fuzzy logic to assess the risk involved in construction projects. The uncertainties related to cost, time and quality in the project is handled by the fuzzy logic that is one of the methods dealing with uncertainties in risk analysis. The model was validated using a real project. The test results demonstrated the plausibility of the model for the risk analysis in a real scenario. Using this model, one can prioritize and rank all risk factors in a construction project. Thus, the project managers and leaders can appropriately take precautions to avoid the risk. The proposed model of fuzzy-based risk analysis simplifies the risk management process, which helps the decision makers and the experts to monitor and to control the project, and ultimately, to meet the satisfaction of stakeholders.
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