对外贸易与虚拟土地资源:以中国粮食为例

Chong Cao, Guojun Yuan
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文选取水稻、小麦、大豆、玉米4种粮食作物,对其2002 - 2020年的对外贸易进行了分析,并对虚拟土地资源进行了估算。研究结果表明,中国粮食一直处于净进口状态。中国以大米出口为主,大豆进口为主,市场结构有明显的简单化趋势。中国粮食虚拟土地资源净进口增长明显,贡献能力突出。年均净进口量为6225万公顷,几乎相当于中国一种作物的可耕地面积。大豆虚拟土地资源净进口贡献约为其播种面积的101倍,玉米、水稻和小麦分别占其播种面积的10.42%、11.69%和74.66%。虚拟土地资源净进口国相对集中,主要集中在巴西、美国、阿根廷、乌克兰和加拿大。
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Foreign trade and virtual land resources: A case study of China's grain
This paper selects four grain crops of rice, wheat, soybean, and corn, analyzes their foreign trade from 2002 to 2020, and estimates the virtual land resource. The research results show that China's grain has always been in the state of net import. China mainly exports rice and imports soybeans, and the market structure has an obvious trend of simplification. The net import of virtual land resources in China's grain has grown significantly and has outstanding contribution ability. The average annual net import is 62.25 million ha, which is almost equivalent to the arable land area of China's one-cropping area. The net import contribution of soybean virtual land resources is about 101 times of its sown area, while corn, rice, and wheat account for about 10.42, 11.69, and 74.66% of its sown area. The net importers of virtual land resources are relatively concentrated, mainly in Brazil, the US, Argentina, Ukraine, and Canada.
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