基于贝叶斯网络模型的农业经济预警计算机系统

Lihong Zhao, Ying Pan, Wen-Oian Pan, Yuying Liu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在统计学习理论和贝叶斯网络方法的基础上,将贝叶斯网络算法与农业宏观经济预警研究相结合。在此基础上,建立了基于贝叶斯网络的农业经济预警模型。本文通过编制MATLAB软件程序,结合某农业大省的经济数据,得到了经济预警的分类超平面和预报预警范围。同时,我们进行了插值和外推检验。结果表明,该预警模型的预测可靠性和拟合效果良好,具有较高的精度。
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Computer System of Agricultural Economic Early Warning based on Bayesian Network Model
On the basis of statistical learning theory and Bayesian network method, this paper combines Bayesian network algorithm with agricultural macroeconomic early warning research. In this way, an early warning model of agricultural economy based on Bayesian network is established. In this paper, the classification hyperplane and forecast warning range of economic early warning are obtained by compiling MATLAB software program and combining with the economic data of a large agricultural province. At the same time, we perform interpolation and extrapolation tests. The results show that the prediction reliability and fitting of the early warning model is effective and feasible with high accuracy.
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