银行证券化对经济增长的长期影响分析

N. Jamshidi, Mohammad Vaez Barzani, Mahdi Toghyani
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引用次数: 0

摘要

经济增长是任何经济体最共同的目标,而资本是增长最重要的决定因素之一。在过去的几十年里,各国资本市场对证券的使用已经扩大,并已成为经济体系的一个重要组成部分,为投资者和其他机构提供资本需求。本研究旨在分析银行融资证券(证券化)对经济增长的影响。为此,在动态随机一般均衡(DSGE)模型的框架中采用了理论分析方法。所使用的理论模型是基于Frank Ramsey(1928)的经济增长模型。为了将这个模型转化为一个适合研究的模型,我们加入了影子银行体系和证券化。然后利用标定方法和美国经济实际数据对模型进行了仿真;然后,对银行证券造成的宏观经济变化和波动进行了解释和分析。根据研究结果,银行发行证券将导致经济增长放缓。因此,建议在银行业务中避免使用证券化。
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An Analysis about the Long Term Impact of Banks Securitization on Economic Growth
Economic growth is the most common goal in any economy, and capital is one of the most important determinants of growth. In the last few decades, the use of securities in various countries' capital markets has expanded and has become an essential part of the economic system supplying the capital need for investors and other institutions. This study aims to analyze the effect of securities used to finance banks (securitization) on economic growth. For this purpose, the theoretical analysis method is used in the framework of a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model. The theoretical model used is based on Frank Ramsey's (1928) economic growth model. To transform this model into a suitable model for research, the shadow banking system and securitization have been added. The model is then simulated using the calibration method and using the real data of the US economy; then, the macroeconomic changes and fluctuations created by bank securities are explained and analyzed. According to the research findings, issuing securities by banks will lead to slower economic growth. Therefore, it is recommended to avoid the use of securitization in banking.
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