大数据环境下智能电网电动汽车状态概率估计

J. Soares, Nuno Borges, B. Canizes, Z. Vale
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引用次数: 6

摘要

本文提出了一个框架和方法来估计电动汽车(ev)在电网中的位置和连接时间的可能状态。采用蒙特卡罗模拟(MCS)来估计这些状态发生的概率。该框架假定信息通信技术(ICT)技术的可用性和以前的数据记录来获得概率状态。在智能电网环境下,以15辆电动汽车为例进行了案例研究。在MCS中进行了100万次迭代,获得了较高的精度。
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Probabilistic estimation of the state of Electric Vehicles for smart grid applications in big data context
This paper presents a framework and methodology to estimate the possible states of Electric Vehicles (EVs) regarding their location and periods of connection in the grid. A Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) is implemented to estimate the probability of occurrence of these states. The framework assumes the availability of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) technology and previous data records to obtain the probabilistic states. A case study is presented using a fleet of 15 EVs considering a smart grid environment. A high accuracy was obtained with 1 million iterations in MCS.
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