基础设施有生产力吗?评估特定基础设施项目对新西兰企业生产力的影响

J. Timmins
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引用次数: 51

摘要

本文研究了利用空间均衡模型的一种变体来估计新西兰特定基础设施项目的生产力效应的可行性。政策制定者对基础设施投资对生产率的边际效应感兴趣,对这种效应的评估将有助于检查当前决策规则和制度的适当性和充分性。迄今为止,似乎还没有使用空间均衡模型来估计特定基础设施项目的生产力影响的例子。然而,本文的分析表明,这种方法是可行的。在为此目的使用空间平衡模型时,需要解决一系列数据和估计问题,但我们发现新西兰有一个相当有用的数据范围。确定可行性的下一步是选择一个特定的基础设施项目,并根据现有数据开发一个经验模型。
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Is Infrastructure Productive? Evaluating the Effects of Specific Infrastructure Projects on Firm Productivity within New Zealand
The paper investigates the feasibility of using a variant of the spatial equilibrium model to estimate the productivity effects of a specific infrastructure project in New Zealand. Policy makers are interested in the marginal effects of infrastructure investment on productivity and an evaluation of such effects would provide a useful check on the appropriateness and adequacy of current decision rules and institutions. To date, there appear to be no examples of using a spatial equilibrium model to estimate the productivity effects of a specific infrastructure project. However, the analysis in this paper suggests that such an approach is feasible. There is a range of data and estimation issues that needs to be addressed in the use of a spatial equilibrium model for this purpose, but we find that a reasonably useful range of data is available in New Zealand. The next step in determining feasibility is to select a particular infrastructure project, and to develop an empirical model based on available data.
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