埃博拉疾病控制模型及药品物流路径优化算法

S. Yan
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引用次数: 2

摘要

埃博拉病毒目前正严重威胁着我们,特别是在非洲,这意味着根除埃博拉病毒是一项巨大的挑战。确保足够数量的埃博拉治疗药物供应,以满足及时和有效消除埃博拉疫情的需要至关重要。埃博拉治疗药物制造和物流运输是防止埃博拉传播的特别重要和不可或缺的过程。本文建立了埃博拉疾病的控制模型,完成了结合治疗药物给药路径的优化算法。成功建立了改进的基于SEIQR的病毒流行率数学模型结构,以根除埃博拉病毒的传播。通过实例仿真,利用概率统计数学模型预测疾病的传播,支持选择最有效的运输路径。在经典Dijkstra算法的基础上,提出并发展了一种改进的药品物流路径优化算法,通过比较各转运点之间的药品运输时间,递归地寻找最快、最有效的路径。通过路径分析,我们还可以知道药物输送的最佳位置。该模型具有理论支持和实践意义,将有助于为卫生控制组织预防埃博拉病毒的传播提供可靠的数据支持和参考。
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The model of Ebola disease control and optimization algorithm of pharmaceutical logistics path
Ebola is threatening us heavily nowadays, especially in Africa, which means that eradicating Ebola is a tremendous challenge to be faced. It is vital to ensure adequate quantities of Ebola treatment drugs supply to meet the timely and effective elimination of the Ebola epidemic. Ebola treating drug manufacturing and logistics transportation are particularly important and indispensable processes for preventing Ebola's spread. The paper established the control model of Ebola disease and completed the combination of the treatment drug delivery path optimal algorithm. The improved Mathematical Model structure of virus prevalence based on SEIQR is successfully built to eradicate Ebola spread. By Case simulation of Mathematical Model of probability statistics is used to predict the spread of the disease and support the selection of the most efficient transportation path. The improved optimization algorithm of pharmaceutical logistics path based on classical Dijkstra's algorithm is put forward and developed, which finds the fastest and most efficient path recursively by comparing medicine transportation time among transit points. Through the path analysis, we can also know the best locations of medicine delivery. The model with theoretical support and practical significance will be of great help to provide reliable data support and reference for the Health Control Organization to prevent the spread of the Ebola virus.
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