风险分析中现金流量的信息量

D. D. Terreno, Silvana Andrea Sattler
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文提出的是确定与盈余相关的现金流量信息含量的过程来解释企业的风险。所使用的风险代理是按账面计价、市场贝塔、财务杠杆和破产风险。采用面板数据技术,用普通最小二乘(OLS)对模型进行求解。本研究的人口涉及2004年至2012年期间在布宜诺斯艾利斯证券交易所上市的公司。在布宜诺斯艾利斯证券交易所上市的公司的证据表明,现金流量表显示了额外的信息内容的收益。经营现金流、投资现金流和融资现金流对不同的风险代理表现出不同的影响;然而,投资现金流在风险市场中占主导地位。
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Informative Content of Cash Flows in the Analysis of Risk
The proposed of this paper is to determine the informative content of the cash flows related to the earnings of the process of explaining the firm's risk. The risk proxies used are Mark-to-Book, Market Beta, financial leverage and insolvency risk. The models are solved by the ordinary least square (OLS) using the panel data technique. The population of this study involves companies listed on the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange in the period from 2004 to 2012. The evidence for firms listed in the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange indicates that the Cash Flow Statement shows an additional informative content to the earnings. The operating, investing, and financing cash flows exhibit a differential effect for the different risk proxy; however, the investment cash flows predominate in the risk market.
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