利用统计技术预测电信数据客户率的时间序列

F. Alqasemi, Salah Al-Hagree, Ibrahim Alnedami, Redwan A. Al-dilami
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引用次数: 0

摘要

如今,海量数据凸显了利用数据挖掘技术满足业务需求的重要性。数据估计是业务的重要需求之一,也是数据挖掘的目标之一。因此,数据挖掘利用机器学习(ML)和统计分析(SA)技术来开发商业智能解决方案。对时间序列(TS)预测方法进行了检验和改进。这种增强增强了TS能力的能力,这是为了响应业务未来的评估需求。本文对TS方法的区分进行了研究。采用四种TS方法预测了也门两家通信公司未来五年的客户费率。这四种方法分别是移动平均(MA)、加权移动平均(WMA)、最小二乘(LS)和指数平滑(ES)。通过比较TS系列预测方法对估计数据进行评价。
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Time Series Forecasting for Clients Rates in Tele-Communication Data using Statistical Techniques
Nowadays, massive data highlights the significance of exploiting data mining technology for business needs. Data estimation is one of the business important demands, which is one of data mining objectives as well. Hence, data mining has utilized machine learning (ML) and statistical analysis (SA) techniques for developing business intelligence solutions. Time Series (TS) forecasting methods are tested and enhanced. Such enhancement is increasing the power of TS abilities, which is served to respond to business future estimation requirements. In this paper, an investigation for TS methods distinction is implemented. Four TS methods are applied to forecast the next five years of clients’ rates of two Yemeni’s communication companies. The four methods are Movement Average (MA), Weighted Movement Average (WMA), Least Square (LS), and Exponential Smoothing (ES). The estimated data is evaluated by comparing TS series forecasting methods.
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