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引用次数: 0

摘要

机会主义是供应链中常见的风险,可能包括欺诈、隐瞒或其他负面行为。机会主义产生的原因是多方面的,最主要的原因可以概括为人性、贸易环境和信息不对称。由于机会主义可能带来的潜在风险,这一领域长期以来一直吸引着学者们的研究。然而,从文献来看,这一领域的差距在于,学者们很少考虑客观条件以及这些条件如何影响机会主义。因此,本研究将关注这一领域,假设单一的制造商-零售商条件,然后建立一个理论模型,考虑制造商的努力水平对利润的影响,以及这种情况如何影响制造商和零售商的决策。利用水晶球(Crystal Ball)软件进行蒙特卡罗仿真,结果表明,不同的生产厂商的努力程度会导致不同的利润。然而,制造商和零售商不可能同时获得最大的利润。此外,如果他们想要获得最高的总利润,那么他们都必须牺牲一部分利润。因此,可能会出现机会主义。为了防止这种情况的发生,最佳的方法是通过基于规范的信任机制,而不是仅仅签署合同。
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The Impact of Opportunism of the Manufacturer on Revenue Allocation in Supply Chain
The opportunism is a common risk in supply chain, which could include fraud, conceal or other negative behaviours. The reason of opportunism is multiple, and the most important reasons can be summarized as human nature, trade environment and information asymmetry. Due to the potential risk that opportunism will create, this field have attracted scholars to study for a long time. However, based on the literature, the gap of this field is that, scholars seldom consider about objective conditions and how these conditions impact on opportunism. Therefore, this research will focus on this field, assume a single manufacturer-retailer condition, and then set up a theoretical model which considers how the manufacturer's effort level impacts on profits, and how this situation will influence decisions that are made by the manufacturer and the retailer. Based on Monte Carlo simulation by software Crystal Ball, the result shows that different manufacturer's effort level will lead to different profits. However, manufacturer and retailer cannot achieve their largest profits in the same time. Besides, if they want to achieve the highest total profits, then both of them have to sacrifice part of their profits. Therefore, opportunism may be showed up. To prevent this happening, the optimal method is through norm-based trust mechanism, rather than just sign for contracts.
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