气泡和信息:一个实验

Matthias Sutter, J. Huber, Michael Kirchler
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引用次数: 112

摘要

信息的对称分布虽然在真实市场中无处不在,但在实验经济学中却很少被考虑。我们研究了关于即将到来的未来股息的信息是否可以减轻实验性资产市场的泡沫。我们发现,拥有不对称信息交易者的市场比拥有对称信息或不知情交易者的市场泡沫要小得多。因此,当一些交易员比其他人更了解未来股息时,基本面价值更好地反映在市场价格上——这意味着更高的市场效率。这表明,当交易者知道他们中的一部分人(在信息方面)比其他人有优势时,泡沫就会减弱。这篇论文被特刊编辑Brad Barber、Teck Ho和Terrance Odean接受。
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Bubbles and Information: An Experiment
A symmetric distribution of information, although omnipresent in real markets, is rarely considered in experimental economics. We study whether information about imminent future dividends can abate bubbles in experimental asset markets. We find that markets with asymmetrically informed traders have significantly smaller bubbles than markets with symmetrically informed or uninformed traders. Hence, fundamental values are better reflected in market prices---implying higher market efficiency---when some traders know more than others about future dividends. This suggests that bubbles are abated when traders know that a subset of them have an edge (in information) over others. This paper was accepted by Brad Barber, Teck Ho, and Terrance Odean, special issue editors.
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