界定和衡量俄罗斯互联网经济的方法

G. Abdrakhmanova, Galina Kovaleva, S. Plaksin
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引用次数: 5

摘要

我们的研究对象是俄罗斯的互联网经济,即依靠万维网俄语部分的公司的经济活动。本研究的目的是对从事国家互联网经济的企业进行分类,并使用官方统计数据衡量其规模(占GDP的份额)。通过对国际上用于此类研究的方法的分析,我们可以根据以下标准进行分类:互联网对经济的直接影响,互联网对经济的间接影响,以及互联网对社会领域的间接影响。为了评估俄罗斯互联网经济的规模,我们使用了国际组织(OECD, BCG,麦肯锡)用于分析互联网对经济的直接影响的方法[BCG(2014),麦肯锡(2011),经合组织(2014)等]。作者在互联网经济中挑出了三个部门:ICT基础设施及其维护部门;一种是纯粹在互联网上做生意的公司,另一种是线上线下结合的公司。为了使用生产方法评估互联网经济在GDP中的份额,我们首先根据全俄经济活动分类(OKVED) Rev. 1.1定义了上述部门,随后计算了每个部门的总增加值(GVA)。为此,联邦国家统计局(Rosstat)计算的GVA数据被分解,而第三部门公司(即结合在线和离线业务)贡献的GVA份额使用特殊调查结果和Rosstat数据进行评估。为了使用支出方法衡量互联网经济的规模,我们重点关注消费者通过互联网购买商品、ICT设备和互联网接入的支出,以及机构对ICT设备的支出、从事互联网活动的企业的固定资本投资、公共部门ICT支出、ICT商品和服务的净出口。根据我们采用生产法和支出法两种方法测算,2014年互联网经济占GDP的比重分别为2.7和2.6%。今后的研究将需要在OKVED2的基础上更详细地定义和描述与互联网有关的经济活动,随后为适当的公司计算GVA,并开发收集家庭支出数据的统计工具
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Approaches to Defining and Measuring Russia’s Internet Economy
Our study object is the Russian Internet economy, i.e. economic activities of companies relying on the Russian-language segment of the World Wide Web. The purpose of this study is to classify businesses engaged in the national Internet economy and measure its size (as a share of GDP) using official statistics. The analysis of international approaches used for such studies allowed us to classify these according to the following criteria: the direct impact of the Internet on the economy, indirect economic impact of the Internet, and its indirect impact on the social sphere. To assess the size of the Russian Internet economy we used the approaches applied by international organizations (OECD, BCG, McKinsey) for the analysis of the direct impact of the Internet on the economy [BCG (2014), McKinsey (2011), OECD (2014), etc.]. The authors singled out three sectors within the Internet economy: the sector of ICT infrastructure and its maintenance; the sector of companies doing business purely on the Internet, and the sector of companies combining an online and offline business. To assess the share of the Internet economy in GDP using the production approach we first defined the above sectors in accordance with All-Russian Classification of Economic Activities (OKVED) Rev. 1.1 and subsequently calculated gross value added (GVA) for each sector. For this purpose, the GVA data calculated by Federal Service of State Statistics (Rosstat) was disaggregated while the share of the GVA contributed by the third sector companies (i.e. combining an online and offline business) was assessed using the results of special surveys and Rosstat data. To measure the size of the Internet economy using the expenditure approach we focused on consumer spending on goods bought through the Internet, ICT equipment and Internet access as well as institutions’ expenditure for ICT equipment, fixed capital investment of enterprises engaged in Internet activities, public sector ICT spending, net exports of ICT goods and services. According to our estimates obtained by two methods such as the production approach and expenditure approach, the share of the Internet economy in GDP in 2014 amounted to 2.7 and 2.6%, respectively. Future studies would require a more detailed definition and description of the Internet-related economic activities on the basis of OKVED2 with subsequent calculation of GVA for appropriate companies as well as development of statistical tools for collecting data on household spending
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