宏观经济绩效及其对科伦坡港集装箱吞吐量的影响

J. H. D. Jayashani, R. Mudunkotuwa
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摘要

货运服务已成为全球贸易中日益重要的一个方面。货运由于货物的运输而具有非常独特的航运业特点。本研究中集装箱吞吐量的创建是在宏观经济效应变量的意义上描述的。本研究将导致斯里兰卡的经济变量如何影响集装箱吞吐量在科伦坡港的体积率的理解。研究问题使用假设检验来回答,使用从人口普查和估计部,中央银行报告和港口年度报告中获得的数据,并使用E-Views的多元线性回归模型对数据进行评估。除通货膨胀率外,集装箱吞吐量与所定义的经济变量呈线性关系。除了通货膨胀率之外,经济变量和所有应对变量之间也存在明显的相关性。在科伦坡港,斯里兰卡的进出口数量是集装箱吞吐量比的最具解释性的变量,其中可以看出,出口数量与其他宏观经济变量相比具有更大的影响。在更宏观的背景下,这一分析增加了对集装箱吞吐量趋势的解释。进一步的研究应该集中在更广泛的数据集的演变上。
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Macroeconomic Performance and its Impact to Container Throughput at Port of Colombo
Services for freight transport have become an increasingly important aspect of global trade. The transport of freight cargo as a result of the shipping industry has very unique characteristics. The creation of container throughput volumes for this research is described in the sense of macroeconomic effect variables. This research will lead to the understanding of how the economic variables of Sri Lanka affect the volume rate of container throughput at Port of Colombo. The study question answered using hypothesis testing using data obtained from the Department of Census and Estimates, Central Bank Reports and Port Annual Reports, and the data is evaluated using a multiple linear regression model of E-Views. There is a linear relation with the defined economic variables for container throughput capacity, except for the inflation rate. There is also a clear correlation, except for the rate of inflation, between the economic variables and all the response variables. At Colombo Port, the Number of Imports & Exports of Sri Lanka were the most explanatory variables for container throughput ratios, where it is seen that Number of exports has a greater effect compared to the other macro-economic variables. In a more macroeconomic context, this analysis adds to the interpretation of container throughput volume trends. Further studies should concentrate on the evolution of broader datasets.
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