1991-2023年FDI流入对印度GDP增长率和失业率的影响

Debesh Bhowmik
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文使用约翰森协整和矢量误差校正分析,检验了1991年至2023年研究期间印度FDI流入对失业率和人均GDP衡量的经济增长的影响。运用非线性趋势、Hamilton分解模型和检验ARIMA(p,d,q)模型对印度FDI流入行为进行了研究。本文发现至少存在一个不显著趋于平衡的协整方程。向量误差修正表明,FDI流入与人均GDP正相关,与失业率负相关。FDI与人均GDP之间存在短期关系。FDI对失业率和人均GDP不存在冲激响应。
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The Impact of FDI Inflows on GDP Growth Rate and Unemployment Rate in India During 1991-2023
The paper examined to relate the impact of FDI inflows in India on the unemployment rate and the economic growth as measured by GDP per capita during the study period from 1991 to 2023 using Johansen cointegration and vector error correction analysis. Moreover, the behaviour of India’s FDI inflows was studied by applying nonlinear trend, Hamilton’s decomposition model and tested ARIMA(p,d,q) model. The paper found that there is at least one cointegrating equation which tends to equilibrium insignificantly. The vector error correction showed that FDI inflows is positively related with GDP per capita and negatively related with unemployment rate. There is a short run relation between FDI and GDP per capita. There is no impulse response of FDI to unemployment rate and GDP per capita.
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