基于权利的渔业结构行为模型

M. Reimer, J. Abbott
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引用次数: 2

摘要

以权利为基础的管理在当今发达国家的渔业中很普遍,但捕捞行为的时空模型并不能反映这种制度背景。我们开发了一个时空捕捞行为模型,该模型结合了捕捞份额渔业的动态和一般平衡要素。我们提出了一种能够通过嵌套不动点极大似然过程恢复结构行为参数的估计策略。我们通过蒙特卡罗分析说明了我们的建模方法,并证明了它对预测样本外反事实策略的重要性。
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Structural Behavioral Models for Rights-Based Fisheries
Rights-based management is prevalent in today's developed-world fisheries, yet spatiotemporal models of fishing behavior do not reflect such institutional settings. We develop a model of spatiotemporal fishing behavior that incorporates the dynamic and general equilibrium elements of catch-share fisheries. We propose an estimation strategy that is able to recover structural behavioral parameters through a nested fixed-point maximum likelihood procedure. We illustrate our modeling approach through a Monte Carlo analysis and demonstrate its importance for predicting out-of-sample counterfactual policies.
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