基于GARCH模型的中国股票市场稳定性分析

Xuehang Yu, Ying Zhan
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引用次数: 2

摘要

在国家大力发展金融的背景下,作为中国金融市场的重要组成部分,如何使股票市场稳定、健康、安全的发展是当前研究的重要问题之一。本研究选择上证综合指数作为研究对象。本研究通过对相关理论和文献的梳理,运用Eviews10.0软件和GARCH模型对2004 - 2019年的历史数据进行分析研究,分析中国股市的稳定态势。在大量数据分析的基础上,可以得出相应的结论。通过对股票市场稳定性的研究,我们可以进一步了解股票市场的内在规律和资源配置功能的实现。同时,研究中国股票市场的稳定性对于防范金融风险和金融监管具有深远的意义,为更好地研究中国股票市场的稳定性提供了新的思路。
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Stability Analysis of Chinese Stock Market Based on GARCH Model
Under the background of vigorously developing finance in the country, as an important part of Chinese financial market, how to make the development of the stock market stable healthy and safety is one of the important problems of present research. This study selects Shanghai composite index as the research object. Through sorting out relevant theories and literatures, this study using Eviews10.0 software and GARCH model to analyze and research the historical data from 2004 to 2019 and analyze the stable situation of China's stock market. On the basis of a large number of data analysis, the corresponding conclusions can be drawn. By studying the stability of the stock market, we can further understand the internal rules of the stock market and the realization of the function of resource allocation. At the same time, the study of the stability of China's stock market is of far-reaching significance for preventing financial risks and financial regulation, and provides new ideas for better research on the stability of China's stock market.
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