尼日利亚货币市场的有效和高效运行及其对尼日利亚经济增长的影响

A. Olawale, Ezeala Obinna
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摘要

货币市场的最佳表现对一个国家的经济稳定和增长至关重要。本研究考察了1998 - 2012年尼日利亚货币市场操作与经济增长之间的关系。该研究使用普通最小二乘法(OLS)分析了一个包含GDP对数、汇率(EXCH)、通货膨胀(INF)、利率(INT)和货币供应量对数(LOG(MS))等变量的数据集。结果提供了对这种联系的见解。值得注意的是,LOG(MS)显著影响经济增长(t统计量= 8.829752,p值= 0.0000),强调功能性货币市场的作用。汇率(EXCH)、通货膨胀(INF)和利率(INT)与经济增长没有显著联系,这意味着还有其他因素在起作用。一个r平方为0.971080的稳健模型解释了GDP的大部分变化,f统计量为83.94508,p值= 0.000000。该研究强调,管理良好的货币市场,特别是LOG(MS),推动了尼日利亚的增长。政策制定者应该优先考虑有效的货币政策,监控货币供应,控制通货膨胀,使市场与经济目标保持一致。
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The Effective and Efficient operation of Money market in Nigeria and its Resultant effects on Economic growth in Nigeria
The optimal performance of the money market is crucial for a nation’s economic stability and growth. This research examines the relationship between Nigeria’s money market operations and economic growth from 1998 to 2012. Using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), the study analyzes a dataset with variables including the logarithm of GDP, exchange rates (EXCH), inflation (INF), interest rates (INT), and logarithm of money supply (LOG(MS)). Results offer insights into this connection. Notably, LOG(MS) significantly influences economic growth (T-statistic = 8.829752, p-value = 0.0000), emphasizing the role of a functional money market. Exchange rates (EXCH), inflation (INF), and interest rates (INT) aren’t significantly linked to growth, implying other factors at play. A robust model with R-squared at 0.971080 explains much GDP variation, validated by F-statistic of 83.94508, p-value = 0.000000. The study highlights a well-managed money market, especially LOG(MS), driving Nigeria’s growth. Policymakers should prioritize effective monetary policy, monitoring money supply, controlling inflation, and aligning market with economic goals.
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