管道凹痕剩余寿命评估的权威比较

R. Dotson, Christine F Holliday, Luis Torres, D. Hagan
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引用次数: 3

摘要

从20世纪80年代末开始,一直到今天,在推进管道凹痕剩余寿命评估方法方面已经花费了大量的精力。最初的研究工作主要是经验性质的,而最近的研究工作已纳入有限元建模。随着评估技术的进步,先进的在线检查(ILI)工具的能力已经提高到可以提供一致、可靠的信息,适用于凹痕评估。由于评估模型和ILI工具的这些进步,运营商现在可以使用ILI数据进行剩余寿命评估,并且可以使用多种剩余寿命评估模型,包括来自欧洲管道研究小组(EPRG)、国际管道研究委员会(PRCI)、美国石油协会(API)和基于有限元的方法的解决方案。除了这些剩余寿命评估之外,许多作业者还会根据ASME B31.8的指导进行基于应变的评估。迄今为止,比较各种评估方法对大量凹痕的研究很少,因此,每种方法固有的保守性仍然存在重大问题。此外,EPRG和PRCI方法主要基于全尺寸测试和基于理想压头形状的有限元模型,而实际的管道凹痕通常具有复杂的形状和多个凹痕之间的相互作用。本文讨论了每种模型的局限性和优点,例如易于使用以及如何考虑管道几何形状和焊缝关联。本文对选定的凹痕评估方法进行了稳健的比较,这些方法分别来自深度为0.6-4.5%外径的24英寸管道的220个实际凹痕和深度为1-2.5%外径的30英寸管道的32个凹痕。评估包括顶部和底部凹痕,并调查约束对剩余寿命的影响。本文给出的结果是基于在两次在线检测中收集的高分辨率ILI卡尺数据。此外,本文还提供了应变和剩余寿命方法之间以及各种剩余寿命评估之间的统计比较。本文还将PRCI模型的约束参数与有限元模型计算的应力集中系数进行了比较。本文首次对各种方法进行了比较,并讨论了如何将工作推广到其他管径和壁厚。
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An Authoritative Comparison of Remaining Life Assessments for Pipeline Dents
A significant amount of effort has been expended in the area of advancing pipeline dent remaining life assessment methods beginning in the late 1980s and extending to the current day. Initial research efforts were primarily empirical in nature while more recent research efforts have incorporated finite element modelling. Coupled with advancements in assessment techniques, the capabilities of advanced in-line inspection (ILI) tools have increased to a point where they can provide consistent, reliable information that is suitable for dent assessments. As a result of these advancements in assessment models and ILI tools, operators can now perform remaining life assessments using ILI data, and a multitude of remaining life assessment models are available, including solutions from the European Pipeline Research Group (EPRG), Pipeline Research Council International (PRCI), American Petroleum Institute (API), and finite-element based approaches. In addition to these remaining life assessments, many operators routinely perform strain-based assessments based on guidance from ASME B31.8. To date, there have been few studies comparing the various assessment methods on large numbers of dents, and as a result, significant questions persist as to the conservatism inherent in each method. In addition, the EPRG and PRCI methods are largely based on full-scale testing and finite-element models performed with idealized indenter shapes while actual pipeline dents typically exhibit complex shapes and interactions between multiple dents. Each model also has limitations and advantages that are discussed in this paper, such as ease of use and how pipeline geometry and weld association are considered. This paper provides a robust comparison of selected dent assessment methodologies on 220 actual dents from a 24-inch pipeline with depths ranging from 0.6–4.5% OD, and 32 dents from a 30-inch line with depths ranging from 1–2.5% OD. The assessment includes both top and bottom of line dents and investigates the influence of restraint on remaining life. The results presented in the paper are based on high-resolution ILI caliper data collected during two in-line inspections. Furthermore, the paper provides statistical comparisons between strain and remaining life methodologies and also between the various remaining life assessments. The paper also provides a comparison of the restraint parameter from the PRCI model with calculated stress concentration factors from finite-element models. The paper provides a first of its kind comparison of the various methods and discusses how the work may be extended to other pipe diameters and wall thicknesses.
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