H. David Evans, 1941-2022:澳大利亚可计算一般均衡模型的先驱

P. Dixon
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摘要

大卫·埃文斯(David Evans)是一位澳大利亚人,1968年在瓦西里·莱昂惕夫(Wassily Leontief)的指导下在哈佛大学完成了一篇开创性的博士论文。本文提出了澳大利亚第一个可计算一般均衡(CGE)模型,并将其应用于分析澳大利亚当时的高关税政策。1968年,大卫回到澳大利亚,但1973年离开,在英国度过了他的职业生涯。尽管他在澳大利亚工作的时间相对较短,但大卫是澳大利亚经济学的主要贡献者。在这篇论文中,我将从一些关于大卫的个人回忆开始。然后我解释埃文斯模型是如何工作的,以及它的局限性。接下来是对20世纪70年代后埃文斯时代澳大利亚通用电气研究发生的情况的描述。从那时起,澳大利亚在这一领域变得众所周知。在论文的最后部分简要描述了澳大利亚CGE模型的国际影响力。
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H. David Evans, 1941–2022: Progenitor of Computable General Equilibrium Modelling in Australia
Abstract David Evans was an Australian who completed a path-breaking PhD thesis at Harvard in 1968 under the supervision of Wassily Leontief. The thesis set out Australia’s first computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, with an application to an analysis of Australia’s then policy of high tariffs. David returned to Australia in 1968 but left in 1973 and spent the rest of his career in the UK. Despite his relatively brief time working in Australia, David was a major contributor to Australian economics. In this paper, I start with a few personal reminiscences about David. Then I explain how the Evans model worked, and its limitations. This is followed by a description of what happened in Australian CGE research in the 1970s, post-Evans. Since then, Australia has become well known in this field. The international reach of Australian CGE modelling is described briefly in the final part of the paper.
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