金融中介发展的微观和宏观分析第二条。伯南克著作中金融中介作用的宏观经济分析,以及金融中介理论在应对金融危机中的应用

Tetiana Krychevska
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揭示研究理论和实践意义的两篇文章中的第二篇获得了2022年瑞典央行经济学奖。作者展示了伯南克关于银行危机的非货币效应对大萧条过程的理论和实践影响,这标志着人们开始认识和衡量金融中介机构作为信息不对称下履行重要职能的机构的宏观经济效应。在全球货币环境发生变化的条件下,全球金融危机的特殊性和银行业最新的危机过程将根据获奖者的作品进行考虑。这种变化——发达经济体迅速收紧货币政策——不仅是对与俄罗斯全面入侵乌克兰相关的全球价格冲击的反应,也是对此前在供应冲击与货币需求刺激相结合、货币当局对稳定通胀预期充满信心的情况下,反通胀努力推迟的反应。本文考虑了硅谷银行(Silicon Valley Bank)、签名银行(Signature Bank)、第一共和国银行(First Republic Bank)和瑞士信贷银行(Credit Suisse)的危机过程在多大程度上被2022年诺贝尔奖得主开发的模型所描述。在此基础上,笔者调整了对银行恐慌在市场经济中的作用问题的回答。美国银行业监管改革的可能方向如下。事实证明,政府面临着一系列复杂的任务:将银行业恐慌造成的社会损失降至最低;防止可能造成广泛宏观经济后果的重大商业损失;防止恐慌情绪的非理性蔓延,防止恐慌成为一种自我实现的预言,同时不消除储户从管理不善的银行逃离的可能性。报告显示,公众参与金融部门的增加和复杂化对金融中介机构的激励产生了极其强大和难以评估的影响,这体现了金融中介机构作为特殊经济实体的性质。
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Development of micro- and macroeconomic analysis of financial intermediation Article 2. Macroeconomic analysis of the role of financial intermediaries in the works of B. Bernanke and the application of financial intermediation theory in combating financial crises
The second of two articles which reveal the theoretical and practical significance of the researches awarded 2022 Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences. The author shows the theoretical and practical influence of B. Bernanke's research on the non-monetary effects of the banking crisis on the course of the Great Depression, which marked the beginning of recognition and measurement of the macroeconomic effects of financial intermediaries as institutions performing important functions under information asymmetry. The peculiarities of the global financial crisis and the latest crisis processes in the banking sector, which are taking place in the conditions of a change in the global monetary environment, are considered in light of the laureates' works. This change – a rapid tightening of monetary policy in developed economies was a reaction not only to global price shocks associated with the full-scale Russia's invasion of Ukraine, but also to the previous delay in anti-inflationary efforts in the conditions of a combination of supply shocks with monetary demand stimulation and monetary authorities' faith in well-anchored inflationary expectations. The article considers the extent to which the crisis processes at Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, First Republic Bank and Credit Suisse are described by the models developed by the 2022 Nobel laureates. Based on that analysis, the author adjusts the answer to the question about the role of banking panics in the market economy. Probable directions for reforming banking regulation in the USA are characterized. It is substantiated that the government faces a complex set of tasks: to minimize social losses from banking panics; to prevent large business losses that would have broad macroeconomic consequences; and to prevent irrational contagion with panic moods and panic as a self-fulfilling prophecy, without eliminating the very possibility of depositors fleeing from a bank with poor management. It is shown that increasing and complicating the public presence in the financial sector has an extremely powerful and difficult to assess influence on the incentives of financial intermediaries, which embody the latter’s nature as special economic entities.
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