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引用次数: 2

摘要

国家和国际文件中建议的目标可靠性水平差别很大,而对相关费用和故障后果的提及却非常模糊。在一些文件中,目标可靠性指标β表示为一个或两个参考周期(1年和50年),而不提供与设计工作寿命的任何联系。这一贡献试图澄清目标可靠性水平、建设成本、失效后果、参考期、设计工作寿命和贴现率之间的关系。基于概率优化的理论研究补充了对代码开发人员和实践工程师有用的建议。结果表明,最优可靠性水平主要取决于结构成本、失效成本和提高结构安全的相对成本,而对折现率和失效时间的影响不大。
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Specification of the Target Reliability Level
The target reliability levels recommended in national and international documents vary within a broad range, while the reference to relevant costs and failure consequences is mentioned only very vaguely. In some documents the target reliability index β is indicated for one or two reference periods (1 year and 50 years) without providing any link to the design working life. This contribution attempts to clarify the relationship between the target reliability levels, construction costs, failure consequences, reference period, the design working life and the discount rate. The theoretical study based on probabilistic optimization is supplemented by recommendations useful for code developers and practicing engineers. It appears that the optimal reliability level depends primarily on the construction costs, failure costs, and relative cost for improving structural safety, and less significantly on the discount rate and the time to failure.
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