动态经济中的道德风险与承诺缺失

A. Karaivanov, F. Martin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们重新审视了有限承诺在动态风险分担环境中与私人信息的作用。我们证明了一个马尔可夫完美均衡,其中代理人和保险人不能承诺超过当前时期,以及一个无限长的合同,只有保险人可以承诺,实现相同的消费,努力和福利结果。与保险公司完全承诺的合同不同,马尔可夫完美合同具有非平凡和确定的资产动态。在数字上,我们表明马尔可夫完美契约提供了相当大的保险,特别是在低资产水平下,并且能够解释自我保险所不能解释的财富不平等的很大一部分。在低资产水平下,解决承诺摩擦的福利收益大于解决道德风险问题的福利收益,而在高资产水平下则相反。
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Moral Hazard and Lack of Commitment in Dynamic Economies
We revisit the role of limited commitment in a dynamic risk-sharing setting with private information. We show that a Markov-perfect equilibrium, in which agent and insurer cannot commit beyond the current period, and an infinitely-long contract to which only the insurer can commit, implement identical consumption, effort and welfare outcomes. Unlike contracts with full commitment by the insurer, Markov-perfect contracts feature non-trivial and determinate asset dynamics. Numerically, we show that Markov-perfect contracts provide sizable insurance, especially at low asset levels, and are able to explain a significant part of wealth inequality beyond what can be explained by self-insurance. The welfare gains from resolving the commitment friction are larger than those from resolving the moral hazard problem at low asset levels, while the opposite holds for high asset levels.
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