Оцінка ймовірностей ризиків проекту зі створення плазмохімічних елементів

Basic models and methods of assessment of project risks have been considered. The main stages of the risk management process for the projects of creation of plasma-chemical elements (PCEs) for clean energy systems are proposed. The algorithm of developing a risk assessment model for the international projects of creation of plasma-chemical systems is provided. The risk framework of international project of creation of PCEs is presented. The model of analytical network process is applied. A verbal scale of relative importance for pairwise comparison of factors is used. The algorithm for determining risk-significance of the project of creation of PCEs is presented. A pairwise comparison of risk factors at implementation of international projects of creation of PCEs is performed. The normalized matrix is developed to determine the probability of occurrence of each factor. The consistency index and the consistency ratio are computed. Probabilities of occurrence of risks of subfactors in the project of creation of PCEs are provided.