负荷不确定性对现货价格的影响

J. Saraiva
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引用次数: 5

摘要

在朝着实施市场机制的方向发展的过程中,有必要制定新的电价计划,以便对输电服务进行补偿。目前使用的几种电价包括基于边际的条款,但这些条款可能非常依赖于负荷水平或负荷不确定性。本文提出了一种基于模糊集的负荷不确定性处理方法,以计算局部边际电价。该方法基于一种集成有功损耗估计的直流模糊最优潮流算法。最后将该算法集成到蒙特卡罗仿真工具中,以获得考虑组件停机的平均节点价格估计。
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Impact of load uncertainties in spot prices
In the scope of the move towards the implementation of market mechanisms, new tariffs schemes are necessary in order to remunerate the transmission service. Several tariffs in use include marginal based terms that, however, may be very dependent on load levels or load uncertainties. In this paper we present a fuzzy set based approach to deal with load uncertainties in order to compute local marginal prices. This approach is based on a DC fuzzy optimal power flow algorithm integrating an estimate of active losses. This algorithm is finally integrated in a Monte Carlo simulation tool in order to obtain estimates of average nodal prices considering component outages.
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