资本市场表现对经济增长的影响:来自尼日利亚的评估

Bello Umar
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摘要

这是对2010年至2020年尼日利亚资本市场表现对经济增长影响的调查。总体目标是评估市场资本对实际国内生产总值的影响,确定贸易价值对实际国内生产总值的影响。使用2010年第一季度至2020年第四季度的第二季度时间序列数据,使用普通最小二乘(OLS)方法进行估计,以评估资本市场表现对尼日利亚经济增长的影响。数据来自尼日利亚证券交易所(NSE)、国家统计局(NBS)和尼日利亚中央银行(CBN)。分析显示,资本市场表现和尼日利亚实际国内生产总值衡量的经济增长指数之间存在正的显著水平关系,统计上显著为5%。它的结论是,资本市场对尼日利亚的经济增长产生了积极而显著的影响。需要使用不同的参数进行进一步的研究,以验证所有发现的一致性。这项研究目前是利用季度时间序列数据调查尼日利亚资本市场表现对经济增长影响的有限研究的一部分。
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Impact of capital market performance on economic growth: An assessment from Nigeria
This is an investigation of the impact of capital market performance on economic growth in Nigeria from 2010 to 2020. The general objectives were to assess the impact of market capitalisation on Real GDP, to determine the influence of the value of trade on Real GDP. Ordinary least square (OLS) method was used for estimation to evaluate the impact of capital market performance on economic growth in Nigeria using secondary quarterly times series data from Q1 2010 to Q4 2020. Data was obtained from Nigeria Stock Exchange (NSE), National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), and Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). Analysis revealed that there is a positive and significant level relationship between indices of capital market performance and economic growth measured by real gross domestic product in Nigeria and statistically significant at 5%. It concluded that the Capital Market positively and significantly impact economic growth in Nigeria. Further studies need to be carried out using different parameters to verify the consistency of all findings. This research is currently part of limited studies that investigated the influence of capital market performance on economic growth in Nigeria using quarterly time-series data.
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