以国内外能源安全领域战略规划文件为例,对所开发的比较分析方法进行了验证

N. Lapenkova, S. A. Pobyvaev, E. V. Zolotarev
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引用次数: 0

摘要

能源安全是当前各国国家安全的重要组成部分之一。本研究的对象是欧盟在确保能源安全领域战略规划的基本文件(欧盟路线图“最终10年ETIP SNET R&I路线图涵盖2017-26年”),并对确保俄罗斯联邦能源安全的现有方法(俄罗斯联邦能源安全原则)进行比较分析。从两份战略规划文件的比较角度进行分析,目的是识别经济安全面临的威胁和风险。本研究的主题是各国能源安全面临的威胁和风险,从而影响其国家安全。本文的科学新颖性在于运用基于动态语义网络的比较分析方法对能源安全领域的战略规划文件进行分析。按照上述方法,对包含过程的文件结构进行分析,通过客观和主观的监测方法可以观察到这些过程的表现。作者开发了比较分析的专家分析仪器,以及评估比较分析客观性的方法。以欧洲联盟和俄罗斯联邦能源安全领域的战略规划文件为例,对所开发的比较分析方法进行了检验。结论是需要进一步研究比较分析的方法基础,以便发现对俄罗斯联邦经济安全的风险和威胁。
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Testing of the developed methodology of comparative analysis on the example of foreign and domestic documents of strategic planning in the sphere of energy security
Energy security is currently one of the key components of national security of any country. The object of this research is the basic documents of strategic planning of the European Union in sphere of ensuring energy security (Roadmap of the European Union “Final 10-year ETIP SNET R&I roadmap covering 2017-26”) in the context of comparative analysis of the existing approaches towards ensuring energy security of the Russian Federation (Energy Security Doctrine of the Russian Federation). The analysis is conducted from the perspective of comparison of two documents of strategic planning for the purpose of identification of threats and risks to the economic security. The subject of this research is the threats and risks to energy security of the countries, and thus, their national security. The scientific novelty consists in examination of the documents of strategic planning in the sphere of energy security using methodology of comparative analysis developed by the authors, which is based on the dynamic semantic network. In accordance with the aforementioned methodology, analysis is carried out on the structure of documents that encompasses the processes, the manifestation of which can be observed through objective and subjective methods of monitoring. The authors developed the expert analytical apparatus of comparative analysis, as well as the methodology for assessing the objectivity of comparative analysis. The developed methodology of comparative analysis is tested on the example of strategic planning documents in the sphere of energy security of the European Union and the Russian Federation. The conclusion is made on the need for further research of the methodological foundations of comparative analysis in order to detect the risks and threats to the economic security of the Russian Federation.
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