非常嘈杂的期权价格和关于期权收益的推论

J. Duarte, C. S. Jones, Junbo Wang
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引用次数: 10

摘要

我们表明,在估计预期期权收益和风险溢价时,微观结构偏差很大,在某些情况下每天超过50个基点。我们提出了一种新的方法来纠正这些偏差。然后,我们将我们的方法应用于实际数据,并得出三个主要发现。首先,标普500指数的跨式和delta对冲期权的预期收益小于先前文献的估计。其次,delta对冲的期权和单只股票的跨式交易预期收益为负。第三,个股波动风险的价格约为市场波动价格的45%。这些发现表明,波动性未在个股期权中定价的风格化发现是由于微观结构偏差。
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Very Noisy Option Prices and Inferences Regarding Option Returns
We show that microstructure biases in the estimation of expected option returns and risk premia are large, in some cases over 50 basis points per day. We propose a new method that corrects for these biases. We then apply our method to real data and produce three main findings. First, the expected returns of straddles and delta-hedged options written on the S&P 500 Index are smaller than previously estimated in the literature. Second, delta-hedged options and straddles written on individual stocks have negative expected returns. Third, the price of individual equity volatility risk is about 45% of the price of market volatility. These findings show that the stylized finding that volatility is not priced in individual stock options is due to microstructure biases.
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