公司债务结构的动态

M. Halling, Jin Yu, J. Zechner
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引用次数: 5

摘要

我们发现,在经济衰退的季度,美国上市公司的债务更多地分散在不同的来源上,这使得债务集中度的指标顺周期移动。在这些动力学中存在大量的横截面变化。低杠杆和高债务集中度的企业在经济衰退中进一步降低杠杆和提高债务集中度。对于杠杆率较高、债务集中度较低的公司,情况正好相反。后者(前者)由规模更大(较小)、风险更低(风险更高)、增长选择更少(更多)、现金水平更低(更高)的公司组成。在经济衰退期间,银行债务占总资产的比例增加了约18%,而市场债务占总资产的比例则下降了约7%。银行债务,特别是定期贷款,在经济衰退期间似乎变得更有吸引力,特别是对具有高盈利能力的借款人而言,而相反,公司规模对在经济衰退期间使用市场债务有积极影响。聚类分析表明,相当一部分企业在商业周期中会改变其债务政策。例如,在衰退前专门使用债券融资的公司中,有12%在衰退期间转向银行融资。
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The Dynamics of Corporate Debt Structure
We find that US public firms spread out their debt more across different sources in recession quarters, making measures of debt concentration move pro-cyclically. There is substantial cross-sectional variation in these dynamics. Firms with less leverage and higher debt concentration further decrease leverage and increase debt concentration in recessions. The opposite is true for firms with higher leverage and lower debt concentration. The latter (former) group consists of firms that are larger (smaller), less risky (riskier), have fewer (more) growth options and lower (higher) cash levels. While the fraction of total assets funded by bank debt increases in the recession by approximately 18% of its average non-recession level, the equivalent measure for market debt drops by approximately 7%. Bank debt, in particular, term loans, appears to become more attractive during recession quarters, especially for borrowers characterized by high profitability while firm size, in contrast, has a positive effect on the use of market debt in recessions. A cluster analysis shows that a substantial fraction of firms changes its debt policy over the business cycle. For example, 12% of the firms that exclusively use bond-financing pre-recession switch to bank-financing during recessions.
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