基于人工智能的房地产评估方法比较

José Legido Casanoves
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摘要

本文的目的是提出和比较根据其特征估计财产价值的模型。例如,房地产市场的潜在投资者可能需要这些信息。这样,他们就可以在做出投资或撤资决策之前,将物业的报价与模型获得的价值进行比较。在本文中,我们应用监督(回归树、随机森林、最近邻、支持向量机)和无监督(聚类)数据分析方法来估计位于西班牙马德里市的住宅价值。研究发现,对房价影响最大的房屋特征是面积,其次是房间数量、建筑物是否有电梯、浴室数量以及建筑物是否有停车场。根据MAPE,最好的估计方法是随机森林方法。
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Comparison of real estate appraisal methodologies based on artificial intelligence
The aim of this paper is to present and compare models that estimate the value of a property according to its characteristics. This information can be required by, for example, potential investors in the real estate markett. In this way, they will be able to compare the offer price of the property with the value obtained by the model, before making investment or disinvestment decisions. In this paper we apply supervised (regression tree, random forerst, nearest neighbour, SVM) and unsupervised (clustering) data analysis methods in order to estimate the value of dwellings located in the city of Madrid, Spain. It is found that the housing characteristic that most influences the price is the surface area, and to a lesser extent the number of rooms, whether the building has a lift, the number of bathrooms and whether the building has a car park. The best method of estimation, according to the MAPE, was the random forest method.
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