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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文报道了一项软件可靠性数据的实验研究。我们在这项调查中的假设是,软件故障是一个基本确定过程的结果,而不是像通常假设的那样是随机过程的实现。使用非线性时间序列分析技术,我们检查了三个软件可靠性数据集的确定性特征,可能是混沌的,行为。在这些数据集中,我们发现了确定性行为的确凿证据,以及混沌行为的暗示。然而,后者太过有限,无法对混沌行为的存在与否作出明确的结论。
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Are software failures chaotic?
We report on an experimental investigation of software reliability data. Our hypothesis in this investigation is that software failures are the result of a fundamentally deterministic process, rather than being realizations of a stochastic process as is commonly assumed. Using the techniques of nonlinear time series analysis, we examine three software reliability datasets for the signatures of deterministic, and possibly chaotic, behavior. In these datasets, we have found firm evidence of deterministic behavior, and hints of chaotic behavior. However, the latter are too limited to permit a definitive conclusion about the presence or absence of chaotic behavior.
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