基于agent的计算金融中XCS代理数量的分析

Tomohiro Nakada, K. Takadama
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引用次数: 8

摘要

自20世纪90年代以来,作为分析经济系统和社会系统的工具而发展起来的基于主体的模拟。在前人的研究中,仿真结果表明代理的数量会影响交易价格及其分布。为了分析代理人数量的影响,本文分析了代理人数量与使用XCS代理人进行人工交易的模拟结果之间的关系。我们通过代理数量来报告市场价格波动和内部模型的人口规模。结果表明:(1)XCS种群数量的增加不影响种群规模的趋同;(2)通过学习XCS智能体的分类器系统,所有智能体收敛于大约15% ~ 20%的总体大小;(3) XCS代理数量的增加减小了市场价格的方差。
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Analysis on the number of XCS agents in agent-based computational finance
An agent-based simulation developed as a tool to analyze economic system and social systems since the 1990s. Previous paper reported that the simulation results indicated that the number of agents affects the trading prices and their distributions. To analyze the effect of the number of agents, this paper analyzes the relationship between the number of agents and simulation results using XCS agents for artificial trading. We report the market price fluctuation and population size of internal model by the number of agents. The revealed the following remarkable implications: (1) increasing number of XCS agents does not affect the convergence of population size of all agents; and (2) all agents converge towards approximately form 15 % to 20 %of population size by learning classifier system of XCS agents; and (3) increasing number of XCS agents reduce the variance of the market price.
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