“赤字融资”还是“减赤融资”?当代经济学的争论:起源、困惑与明晰

A. Pettifor
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引用次数: 8

摘要

对政府赤字和公共债务的分析指出了当代经济讨论中的一个根本性错误。从对公共部门赤字的估计来评估财政政策的立场是不可能的。约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯的宏观经济学和本文讨论的经验证据表明,由贷款问题提供资金的扩张性财政政策将导致经济活动和就业的增长。在一个产能闲置、资源闲置的经济体中,高政府支出会产生收入,包括税收,从而减少政府赤字,削减公共债务。在私人经济疲软时期,增加政府贷款支出的主要目的是增加国家收入。凯恩斯认为,任何此类政府支出都不是赤字支出,因为他认为支出是削减赤字的最明智手段。减少赤字的支出可能是一个更合适的定义,因为正如他与约西亚·斯坦普(Josiah Stamp)争论的那样:“你永远不会通过减少国民收入的措施来平衡预算”(凯恩斯,1978年,第21卷,第149页)。
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‘Deficit Financing’ or ‘Deficit-Reduction Financing?’ Debates in Contemporary Economics: Origins, Confusions and Clarity
The analysis of government deficits and public debt points to a fundamental error in contemporary economic discussions. It is not possible to assess the stance of fiscal policy from estimates of the public sector deficit. John Maynard Keynes’s macroeconomics and the empirical evidence discussed in this paper indicate that expansionary fiscal policy financed by loan issues will lead to growth in economic activity and employment. In an economy with spare capacity and idle resources, high government expenditure generates income, including tax revenues and thereby reduces the government deficit, and cuts public debt. The main purpose of increased loanfinanced government spending at times of private economic weakness is to increase the nation’s income. Keynes argued that any such government spending was not deficit spending, because he understood the spending as the most sensible means to cut the deficit. Deficit-reduction spending might be a more appropriate definition, because as he argued with Josiah Stamp: “You will never balance the budget through measures which reduce national income” (Keynes, 1978, vol. 21, p. 149).
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