基于SIR的吸烟传播分析

Zhuohang Qin, Sibei Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

中国是世界上最大的烟草消费国,也是世界上最大的烟草受害者,所以我希望解决吸烟传播问题,这对于控制其传播规模,减少对公众健康和社会经济发展的危害非常重要。本文采用传染病动力学模型(SIR)来解决吸烟传播问题。本文在引入SIR模型的基础上,建立了三个新的吸烟传播分析模型,并根据三个模型的无病平衡计算基本繁殖数。最后,利用三种模型的结论提出相应的对策和建议,为分析和解决吸烟蔓延问题提供参考。这三种模型用于计算基本复制数。
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Analysis of smoking transmission based on the SIR
China is the world's largest consumer of tobacco and the world's largest victim of tobacco, so I hope to solve the problem of smoking transmission, which is important to control the scale of its transmission and reduce the harm to public health and socioeconomic development. In this paper, we use the infectious disease dynamics model (SIR) to solve the problem of smoking transmission. This paper introduces the SIR model as the basis and then establishes three new models to analyze the spread of smoking, and then calculates the Basic reproduction number according to the disease free equilibrium of the three models. Finally, the conclusions of the three models are used to propose corresponding countermeasures and suggestions, so as to analyze and solve the problem of the spread of smoking and provide a reference. The three models are used to calculate the Basic reproduction number.
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