马来西亚教师提前退休潮还会继续吗?——基于GM(1,1)灰色预测模型的灰色预测

Han Li, Na Zhao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自2017年以来,由于教师提前退休的趋势,马来西亚的教师人数有所减少。许多组织建议通过法律来应对这一趋势,以减少影响,但马来西亚尚未提出任何可行的解决方案。在这些情况下,是否有可能在不久的将来使提前退休的人数逐步减少?在此基础上,建立GM(1,1)灰色预测模型,形成灰色预测,表明马来西亚在2022-2024年,教师人数和师生广播将继续下降。马来西亚政府需要认真对待这一问题,并积极采取一系列措施,防止教师提前退休对教育标准产生负面影响。
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Will the Wave of Early Retirement of Teachers in Malaysia Continue? - a Grey Prediction Based on GM(1,1) Gray Prediction Model
The number of teachers in Malaysia has decreased since 2017 as a result of a tendency toward early retirement among teachers. Numerous organizations have suggested that laws be passed in reaction to this trend to lessen the effects, but Malaysia has yet to come up with any viable solutions. Is it possible that these circumstances will allow for a progressive decrease in the number of early retirees in the near future? Based on this inquiry, a GM(1,1) gray prediction model was created and a gray prediction was formed, which indicates that in 2022–2024, Malaysia's teacher population and teacher–student radio will continue to decline. The Malaysian government needs to take this seriously and aggressively implement a number of steps to prevent the negative effects of early teacher retirement on educational standards.
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