强调海洋和河口系统中多重压力源的复杂性

P. Glibert, W. Cai, E. Hall, Ming Li, K. Main, Kenneth A. Rose, J. Testa, N. K. Vidyarathna
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引用次数: 6

摘要

水生生态系统正日益受到与气候和人为变化相关的多种人为压力源的威胁,包括变暖、营养物污染、有害藻华、缺氧以及CO2和ph的变化。这些压力源可能会叠加和协同影响系统,但也可能相互抵消。由此产生的生态系统变化发生迅速,影响生物和非生物成分及其相互作用。此外,由于不同生命阶段和相关物种相互作用(如竞争和捕食)的不同敏感性和暴露程度,相互作用的复杂性随着食物网的提升而增加。也有必要进一步了解非传统的食物网相互作用,如混合营养,这是一个单一的生物体结合光合作用和摄食的能力。这些相互作用和非传统食物网的复杂性对生态系统建模和管理提出了挑战。在不同营养水平上相互作用的压力源的影响以及区域尺度上气候变化的巨大变异性方面,缺乏足够的数据,进一步挑战了建立理解多压力源效应的生态模型。为了获得一系列广泛的相互作用的数据,可以采用一组嵌套的实验。模块化、耦合、多营养级模型将提供灵活性,以探索多种应激源相互作用可能产生的加性、放大、传播、拮抗和/或减少效应。本文回顾了与富营养化和气候变化相关的压力源,然后使用来自世界各地的示例系统来说明它们的复杂性以及如何使用模型情景来检查潜在的未来变化。
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Stressing over the Complexities of Multiple Stressors in Marine and Estuarine Systems
Aquatic ecosystems are increasingly threatened by multiple human-induced stressors associated with climate and anthropogenic changes, including warming, nutrient pollution, harmful algal blooms, hypoxia, and changes in CO2 and pH. These stressors may affect systems additively and synergistically but may also counteract each other. The resultant ecosystem changes occur rapidly, affecting both biotic and abiotic components and their interactions. Moreover, the complexity of interactions increases as one ascends the food web due to differing sensitivities and exposures among life stages and associated species interactions, such as competition and predation. There is also a need to further understand nontraditional food web interactions, such as mixotrophy, which is the ability to combine photosynthesis and feeding by a single organism. The complexity of these interactions and nontraditional food webs presents challenges to ecosystem modeling and management. Developing ecological models to understand multistressor effects is further challenged by the lack of sufficient data on the effects of interactive stressors across different trophic levels and the substantial variability in climate changes on regional scales. To obtain data on a broad suite of interactions, a nested set of experiments can be employed. Modular, coupled, multitrophic level models will provide the flexibility to explore the additive, amplified, propagated, antagonistic, and/or reduced effects that can emerge from the interactions of multiple stressors. Here, the stressors associated with eutrophication and climate change are reviewed, and then example systems from around the world are used to illustrate their complexity and how model scenarios can be used to examine potential future changes.
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