基于C4.5算法的万隆县降水预报

Joko Azhari Suyatno, F. Nhita, A. A. Rohmawati
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引用次数: 18

摘要

万隆摄政是印度尼西亚的一个城市,大多数人是农民。农民需要天气信息来决定种植季节。天气预报成为农业部门确定种植季节开始以及收成质量和数量的一个方向。影响收成的因素之一是降雨。本研究利用C4.5算法建立了万隆地区降雨预报的分类模型。然后,采用后剪枝方法对模型进行剪枝优化。我们使用了BMKG(气象、气候和地球物理局)2005年至2016年期间的天气数据。不修剪的平均准确率测试结果为60%,使用修剪的平均准确率测试结果为93.33%。
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Rainfall Forecasting in Bandung Regency Using C4.5 Algorithm
Bandung regency is one of Indonesian city that majority of the people are farmers. Farmers need weather information to determine the planting season. Weather forecasting become an orientation in agriculture sector to determining the beginning of planting season, and also quality and quantity of their harvest. One of the factors that affecting the harvest is rainfall. In this research, we make a classification model using C4.5 algorithm for rainfall forecasting at Bandung regency. Then, the post-pruning method is used to optimize pruning on the model. We used a weather data from BMKG (Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical Agency) in 2005 to 2016 period. The result of average accuracy testing without pruning is 60% and using pruning is 93.33%.
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