宏观经济官员对乌克兰金融安全的影响

V. Synchak, Leonid Melnyk
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文考察了宏观经济因素对国家金融安全影响的特殊条件,并为稳定乌克兰金融体系的发展提供了指导方针。评估宏观经济因素质的变化,同时保持稳定的资金流动再生产率的方向,以及在外部影响的条件下自主决定国家利益的可能措施,都已确定下来。根据已建立的宏观经济因素之间的功能关系,开发了一种方法,并证实了金融安全稳定的模拟分析模型,这些宏观经济因素基于金融体系失衡的威胁“症状”标识符的相互作用,确定了国家的发展指导方针。静态方法用于确定受危机形势影响的金融体系的威胁症状,并使用动态方法进行研究。事实证明,以经济主体的制度基础设施要素和典型金融运作策略为基础的金融体系,对其发展模式取向具有建设性、破坏性和中立性,需要研究金融安全的微观和宏观因素,同时考虑到金融体系所有参与者的利益。宏观经济因素与国家金融安全指标之间的联系得到了证实。选取不同层次的金融安全体系指标,分析国家金融体系中的群体性混乱现象。在发展战略的导向下,提出了影响国家金融安全水平的典型宏观经济因素的标识符。在一个离散时期,分析了金融市场、债务、预算、货币和货币信贷领域的银行和非银行领域因素对乌克兰金融安全的影响。乌克兰金融安全的综合水平是根据宏观经济因素的一组分类指数确定的。提出了乌克兰金融安全金字塔中货币积累的实际和预测量的模型,它代表了一个以资金流动为基础的平衡的金融体系,以覆盖预算赤字和国家的战略发展。
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Impact Of Macroeconomic Officials On The Financial Security Of Ukraine
The article examines the special conditions of the influence of macroeconomic factors on the country’s financial security with guidelines for the stabilization of the development of the financial system of Ukraine. Directions for assessing qualitative changes in macroeconomic factors while maintaining stable rates of reproduction of financial flows and possible measures for self-determination of national interests in conditions of external influences have been grounded. A methodology has been developed and a simulation-analytical model of stabilization of financial security has been substantiated, based on the established functional relationships between macroeconomic factors, which, based on the interaction of identifiers of threatening «symptoms» of financial system imbalance, determine the country’s development guidelines. The static approach is used to determine the threatening symptoms of the financial system, which are under the influence of crisis situations, and are investigated using dynamic methods. It has been proven that the financial system, based on the elements of the institutional infrastructure and typical strategies of financial operations of economic entities, has a constructive, destructive, and neutral nature of spreading to the model orientations of their development and requires the study of micro- and macro-factors of financial security, taking into account the interests of all participants of this system. The connection between macroeconomic factors and signs of the country’s financial security is substantiated. Different level system indicators of financial security are singled out, which allow analysing of chaotic mass phenomena in the country’s financial system. Identifiers of typical macroeconomic factors influencing the level of financial security of the country with the orientation to the development strategy are presented. In a discrete period, the influence of factors of the banking and non-banking spheres of the financial market, debt, budget, currency, and monetary credit spheres on the financial security of Ukraine have been analysed. The integrated level of financial security of Ukraine has been determined based on the set of sub-indices of macroeconomic factors. A model of the actual and forecast volume of currency accumulations in the pyramid of financial security of Ukraine has been presented, which represents a balanced financial system based on the movement of financial flows, to cover the budget deficit and strategic development of the country.
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