加纳银行不良贷款、贷款利率与财务绩效之间的关系

Amos Ninson, Augustina Sidza, Dominic Ampah
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的主要目的是研究加纳商业银行的不良贷款、商业银行贷款利率和财务业绩之间的关系。采用时间序列设计和定量研究方法。所选变量和一些控制变量的二次数据来自加纳中央银行2006年至2019年的经济和货币数据库,并用于分析。对理论文献和实证文献进行了回顾,为本研究创造了研究空白。对变量的平稳性和描述性等时间序列性质进行了分析,以评价时间序列变量的稳定性。平稳性检验采用增广Dickey-Fuller单位根检验,因为时间序列图显示不可能出现严重的结构性断裂。发现税前资产回报率、税后股本回报率、商业银行利率、通货膨胀率和银行间利率是加纳金融部门不良贷款的重要决定因素。结论是加纳银行的不良贷款水平、商业银行的贷款利率和银行的财务业绩之间存在着同步的关系,因此它们中的任何一个都可以作为确保加纳金融体系稳定的先导变量或政策变量。有人建议商业银行的管理部门必须利用其他产生收入的途径,例如项目直接融资等,并通过增加利息费用减少对利息支付的依赖。
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The Nexus Among Non-performing Loans, Lending Rates and Financial Performance of Banks in Ghana
The main purpose of the study was to examine the relationship among non-performing loans, Commercial Banks’ lending rate and financial performance of Commercial Banks in Ghana. The time series design was used along with the quantitative research approach. Secondary data on the selected variable and some control variables were accessed from the economic and monetary data base of the Central Bank of Ghana from 2006 to 2019 and used for the analysis. Both theoretical and empirical literature was reviewed to create a research gap for the study. Time series properties of the variables such stationarity and descriptive were done to assess the stability of the time series variables. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit-root test was used for the stationarity test since the time series plots indicated no possibility of serious structural breaks. Return on assets before tax, return on equity after tax, Commercial Banks interest rate, inflation and inter-banks interest rate were found to be significant determinants of Non-performing loans in the financial sector of Ghana. It was concluded that simultaneous relationships exist among the level of non-performing loans, Commercial Banks’ lending rate and financial performance of Banks in Ghana, hence anyone of them could serve as a lead variable or policy variable in ensuring a stable financial system in Ghana. It was recommended that the management of commercial banks must exploit other avenues of generating income such as direct project financing among others and reduce reliance on interest payment through increase in interest charges.
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