基于轮询方法预测交通拥堵的Android应用程序

Nuzulul Aulia Perdana Putra, K. Lhaksmana, Bambang Ari Wahyudi
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引用次数: 1

摘要

交通拥堵往往是大城市的一个问题,造成经济和社会危害,空气和声音污染,以及日常活动的延误。现有的交通辅助应用通常基于工作日的实时交通状况和典型交通记录提供交通预测。这种交通预测不适用于特殊时刻的交通预测,例如长周末和法定节假日,因为这些时间段的车辆数量与工作日有很大的差异。为了解决这一问题,本文提出了一种将轮询、交通记录和线性回归相结合的交通预测方法。通过在电信大学附近的一条道路上对交通用户进行民意调查,收集交通记录,使用线性回归估计未来交通状况,然后将预测的交通状况与实际交通状况进行比较,对所提出的方法进行评估。拥堵程度是用道路的服务水平来衡量的。实验结果表明,该方法能较好地预测与实际交通状况在同一服务等级内的交通状况。验证了该方法对交通状况预测的适用性。在本研究中,提出的方法也在一个基于android的移动应用程序中实现。
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An Android Application for Predicting Traffic Congestion Using Polling Method
Traffic congestion is often a problem in major cities causing economic and social harm, air and sound pollution, as well as delays in daily activities. Existing traffic assistant applications usually provide traffic prediction based on real-time traffic condition and typical traffic record during weekdays. Such a traffic prediction is not applicable to predict traffic for special moments, e.g. long weekends and national holidays, on which the number of vehicle is very much different compared to that on weekdays. To tackle this issue, this paper proposes a method for traffic prediction by combining poll, traffic records, and linear regression. The proposed method is evaluated by conducting a poll to traffic users on one of the roads nearby Telkom University, collecting the traffic record, estimating the future traffic condition using linear regression, and then comparing the predicted traffic condition with that of the actual traffic condition. The level of congestion is measured as the road's level of service. The experiment result shows that the proposed method successfully predicts the traffic condition within the same class of level of service with the actual traffic condition. This confirms that the method is applicable for predicting traffic condition. In this research, the proposed method is also implemented in an android-based mobile application.
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