基于Sentinel-1A数据的党川滑坡沉降特征分析与预测

Hui Zhang, Xing-hai Dang, Liqi Jia, Jianyun Zhao, Xincheng Fan, Ming Lu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

为研究甘肃黑方台滑坡的空间分布特征及成因,以2017年9月至2020年11月的sentinel- 1A影像为数据源,利用SBAS技术提取研究区地表沉降信息,选取党川村滑坡高相干点D1,结合灌溉、降雨和温度数据对滑坡沉降进行分析。并利用BP神经网络进行点预测。结果表明:(1)SBAS技术识别的区域主要分布在新园村、方台村、竹王村、陈家村及台地周边。(2) 2月和3月,由于温差较大,随着气温升高,党川滑坡开始沉降,导致多年冻土融化;从6月开始,黄土塬地开始下沉,滑坡频繁发生,灌溉量和降雨量增加;10月以后,党川村滑坡产生冻结滞水效应,沉降有增大的趋势。(3) BP神经网络预测结果表明,2022年D1点沉降速率将超过60 mm,对该区域的早期识别和防治具有重要意义。
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Analysis and prediction of landslide subsidence characteristics of Dangchuan based on Sentinel-1A data
In order to study the spatial distribution characteristics and causes of Heifangtai landslide in Gansu Province, the sentinel- 1A images from September 2017 to November 2020 were used as the data source to extract surface subsidence information in the study area using SBAS technology, and the high coherence point D1 of the landslide in Dangchuan village was selected, the subsidence was analyzed by combining irrigation, rainfall and temperature data. And the BP neural network was used to predict the point. The results showed that: (1) the area identified by SBAS technology was mainly spread in Xinyuan village, Fangtai village, Zhuwang village, Chenjia village and around the tableland. (2) In February and March, due to the large temperature difference, the landslide of Dangchuan started to settle as the temperature increased and caused the permafrost to melt; The amount of irrigation and rainfall increases from June, when the loess tableland starts to sink and landslides occur frequently; After October, the landslide in Dangchuan Village produced a frozen stagnant water effect, and there was a tendency for the subsidence to increase. (3) The prediction result of BP neural network shows that the subsidence rate of D1 point will surpass 60 mm in 2022, which is important for the early identification and prevention of the area.
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