基于深度学习的韩国首尔微尘预测

Jonggu Kang, Y. Lee
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引用次数: 0

摘要

细尘又称颗粒物(Particulate Matter, PM),通过改变阳光的辐射强迫直接或间接地影响气候变化。众所周知,这对人体有害,并影响工业活动。为了防止PM浓度的增加对健康环境、社会和经济的整体损害,确保区域PM浓度的精确计算和监测技术是非常重要的。此外,由于快速的城市化、工业化、人口增长和人类生活方式的变化等问题,空气污染程度正在加剧,细尘浓度正在恶化。通过前期的大量研究,证实了天气因素与细尘浓度的相关性[1]。此外,人类活动排放的颗粒物不仅污染空气,还通过散射太阳短波辐射使地球变冷[2]。细尘预测方法大致可分为(1)数值预测建模,通过数学方程预测细尘浓度;(2)基于统计建模,通过与各种原因的统计相关性来预测细尘浓度。此外,近年来,人工智能技术的应用研究也在积极开展。与以往的研究不同,此次研究的目的是利用2019年安装的S-DoT传感器开发微尘预测模型。由于S-DoT传感器既提供微尘预报的气象数据(温度、湿度、风向等),也提供微尘数据,因此在时间和空间上是一致的。此外,细粉尘和超细粉尘可以认为具有更高的精度,因为它还提供
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Deep Learning-based Prediction for Fine dust in Seoul, Korea
Extended Abstract Fine dust as known as Particulate Matter (PM) directly or indirectly affects climate change by changing the radiative forcing of sunlight. This is known to be harmful to the human body and affects industrial activities. In order to prevent damage to the health environment, society, and economy as a whole due to the increase in PM concentration, it is important to secure regional accurate PM concentration calculation and monitoring technology for it. In addition, due to problems such as rapid urbanization, industrialization, population growth, and changes in human life worldwide, the level of air pollution is intensifying and the concentration of fine dust is deteriorating. Through many previous studies, it was confirmed that the weather factor and the concentration of fine dust were related [1]. In addition, particulate matter emitted through human activities not only pollutes the air, but also cools the Earth by scattering shortwave solar radiation [2]. The fine dust prediction method can be largely divided into (1) numerical prediction modeling to predict fine dust concentration by mathematical equations and (2) statistical-based modeling to predict fine dust concentration by deriving statistical correlation with various causes. In addition, research on applying artificial intelligence techniques has been actively conducted recently. Unlike previous studies, this study aims to develop a fine dust prediction model using the S-DoT sensor installed in 2019. Since the S-DoT sensor provides meteorological data (temperature, humidity, wind direction, etc.) for fine dust prediction as well as fine dust data, it is consistent in time and space. In addition, fine dust and ultrafine dust can be considered to have higher accuracy because it also provides
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