2019冠状病毒病大流行之前和期间印度尼西亚蛋鸡品种价格波动

Putri Feronika Girsang, Hery Toiba, S. Syafrial
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引用次数: 0

摘要

了解各种食品的价格动态和波动性在公众生活中得到了足够大的关注,因为经历了经济动荡导致的剧烈价格波动。危机金融COVID-19是印度尼西亚经历的危机经济大问题之一,它引发了生产者和消费者层面的价格不稳定(波动)。COVID-19大流行期间价格波动的一种配料食品是配料食品蛋鸡族。该研究分析了印度尼西亚在2019冠状病毒病大流行之前和期间蛋鸡比赛的波动性。该研究使用了2018年3月至2022年3月期间生产者和消费者层面的每周蛋鸡比赛价格数据。二级数据由印度尼西亚共和国农业部通过SIMPONI-Ternak在线国家信息系统获得。本研究采用广义自回归条件异方差法(GARCH)和自回归条件异方差法(ARCH)进行分析。结果表明,在新冠肺炎大流行之前,生产者和消费者层面的蛋鸡价格属于低波动类别,在新冠肺炎大流行期间,生产者层面的蛋鸡价格也属于低波动类别,而在新冠肺炎大流行期间,消费者层面的蛋鸡价格则属于高波动类别。因此,本研究的贡献如下。首先,有助于设计干预政策,帮助食物进入正确的社区,并提供监管价格,以修复价格,在COVID-19大流行后价格达到稳定价格鸡蛋鸡竞争在生产者和消费者层面都是有益的。其次,评估绩效部门在COVID- 19之前和期间的蛋鸡竞赛对目的地可持续发展的影响。
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EGG CHICKEN RACE PRICE VOLATILITY IN INDONESIA BEFORE AND DURING COVID-19 PANDEMIC
Understanding about dynamics of the price and volatility of a variety of food has gotten enough big attention in life Public because experience fluctuation sharp price consequences of turmoil economies. Crisis finance COVID-19 is one of the conditions crisis economy big problems experienced by Indonesia which triggered happening fluctuation the price is not stable (volatility) at producer level and also at consumer level. one ingredient food that has fluctuation price moment the COVID-19 pandemic is ingredient food egg chicken race. The study analyzed the volatility egg chicken race in Indonesia before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in Indonesia. The study used weekly egg chicken race price data at the producers and consumers level from March 2018-March 2022. The secondary data was obtained through Sistem Informasi Pasar Online Nasional-Ternak (SIMPONI-Ternak) by the Ministry of the Agriculture Republic of Indonesia. The analytical methods used in this study were Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) and autoregressive conditionally heteroscedastic approach (ARCH). The findings showed that the price of egg chicken race at producers and consumers level before the COVID-19 pandemic is categorized as a low volatility category and also at producer level during COVID-19 pandemics, while at the consumer level during COVID-19 pandemic is classified as high volatility category. Thus the research this has contributed is as follows. First, useful for designing policies with intervention to help food to the right community and provide regulation prices as an effort to repair prices price in reach stability price egg chicken race post the COVID-19 pandemic is good at the level of producer nor consumer. Second, evaluate the implication performance sector egg chicken race before and during COVID- 19 for destination development sustainable.
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